Mercutio said:
It's the PBS/NPR model for web sites (i.e. "User Supported")!
Or the pr0n model...
For the non-adult site, how much free content will be provided to entice users to pay? How to convince people you're worth paying for? What percentage of sites that try this model fail?
In all of my years on the net I've never joined a pay-for-play site. I donated to SR a couple of times and pitched in for Doug's gift here, but otherwise I've relied on free content. It's not that I'm too cheap (well, partially) but that I've never felt either obligated or that content/my interest was sufficient to justify my $. Not to mention reluctance to provide billing data to companies I don't know I can trust.
We'll see things like Interstitial Ads - ads in the middle of mulitpage stories.
Yahoo Groups message forums already do this. Not every time but every once in a while.
We'll see Java or Flash based ads that demand interaction to view the content of the page (e.g. Experts Exchange, which, when viewed in IE, has a graphic that "falls" to the middle of the screen, obscuring the text behind it).
Already see this here & there as well. Generally leads to an Alt-F4 or Control-W on my part.
The saving grace to this is that anyone with any sense of decency will make their content available for the blind (and hopefully low-bandwidth users on modems and cell networks). If it gets to the point where every site is flash and all the ads are 200kb java apps, there will STILL be plain text SOMEWHERE for the screen reader programs blind folks use.
Given how little attention is paid to making sites accessible for the impaired, I doubt that'll be a concern for most sites in the future. However, the growing popularity of web surfing from phones & handhelds with small screens & limited bandwidth may restrain some sites from making their pages too large.
I used to make sure my home page was always under 30K (text + graphics) to ensure quick loading from any type of connection. I hit some sites currently where the home page is 200+K. Disgusting. Lazy.
As a little sidebar, I don't believe for a moment that I should have to pay to be advertised to. I hate going to the movies now because I see ads before the trailers.
Well, it's actually the still ads (slide show) before the advertised start time. Then, at the time the movie is advertised to start, the moving picture ads (commercials) before the trailers. Then the trailers, which are really just MORE ads, then the movie itself, which will nowadays frequently feature blatant advertisements & product placements. As far as I'm concerned, movies always start 12-15 late because of the ads. So I no longer concern myself with getting to the theater on time.