I know Tannin won't see this, but I'm in the mood to impart some wisdom, so who cares?
Simply making outdoor lighting brighter tends to be a mistake - you actually end up creating deeper shadows, which is very much counter-productive from a security standpoint. Anyone with a variable output flashlight should have some appreciation of the dilemma. In this case, *IF* the LED manufacturer specs are correct, you would be raising the brightness by 8 times!
(If I'm generous, I'd allow 1500 lumens @360*° from a brand new 100W incandescent with no frosting. In my view, inevitable discoloration and the massive filament shadowing mean it's not truly comparable with any modern lighting, but I digress. Resulting intensity would be an optimistic 119 cd (candela). The proposed replacement claims 3000 lm @120°, which yields a whopping 1080 cd! They're normally sold as a "floodlight".)
On top of the intensity, there's the color temperature to consider. The incandescent will be just under 3000°K (yellowish, i.e. "warm white"), whereas I'll bet that of the 3 LED panel options listed, the actual one available is the cheapest to produce: 6000°K (slightly bluish, i.e. "daylight"). That would be fine in a brightly-lit indoors situation, but outside, it tends to make the shadows appear even sharper-edged. For security purposes in full darkness, 'warmer' light is less distracting to human vision (much as I hate to admit it).
The best way to solve illumination problems is through careful direction of your light sources. Ideally, you want them close to whatever you're trying to illuminate. Failing that, spread your sources apart. If you can't do anything else, use *shielded* spots, but expect strong shadows.
Regarding the original query, a 'dimmable' LED bulb might work OK, but it's a $30 gamble in Oz. Unfortunately, I can't test this because my own sensor switches (cheap Arlec units) don't have a problem with any bulb.
Final warning for anyone reading this is that 99% of LED bulbs are more directional than the 120-150° they might claim. Most outdoor lights present the side of the bulb as the light source, so efficiency-wise, LEDs have to defer to CFL in this situation.